lunes, 29 de octubre de 2012
Earn IMF leads global push for euro zone to boost firewall
Earn IMF leads global push for euro zone to boost firewall The head of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Christine Lagarde attends a session at the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, January 28, 2012. REUTERS/Christian Hartmann The head of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Christine Lagarde attends a session at the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, January 28, 2012. REUTERS/Christian Hartmann By Paul Carrel and Emma Thomasson DAVOS, Switzerland (Reuters) - International Monetary Fund chief Christine Lagarde led a global push on Saturday for the euro zone to boost its financial firewall, saying 'if it is big enough it will not get used.' Lagarde, supported by the British finance minister, George Osborne, said the IMF could boost its support for the euro zone but pressed its leaders to act first. Some attendees at the Davos Forum still doubted the viability of the currency union. Countries beyond the 17-country bloc want to see its members stump up more money before they commit additional resources to the IMF, which this month requested an additional 500 billion euros ($650 billion) in funding. 'Now is the time - there has been a lot of pressure building in order to see a solution come about,' Lagarde told a Forum panel discussion on the economic outlook from which euro zone leaders - most notably Germany - were conspicuously absent. 'It is critical that the euro zone members develop a clear, simple firewall that can operate both to limit the contagion and to provide this sort of act of trust in the euro zone, so that the financing needs of that zone can actually be met,' she said. Lagarde's comments rounded out a crescendo of calls at the Davos Forum for the euro zone to boost its financial defenses. The annual five-day conference began with German Chancellor Angela Merkel deflecting pressure to do so. In a carefully worded keynote address, Merkel suggested doubling or even tripling the size of the fund may convince markets for a time, but warned that if Germany made a promise that could not be kept, 'then Europe is really vulnerable.' On Friday, U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner pressed Europe to make a 'bigger commitment' to boosting its firewall. Two bankers who attended meetings with Geithner at the Forum said on Friday the United States was looking for the euro zone to roughly double the size of its firewall to 1.5 trillion euros. There was no immediate comment from the U.S. Treasury. Osborne said the currency bloc must beef up its firewall before other countries increase their funding to the IMF. 'I think the euro zone leaders understand that,' said Osborne, the only European minister on Saturday's panel discussion on the global economic outlook in 2012. 'There are not going to be further contributions from G20 countries, Britain included, unless we see the color of their money,' he added, calling for the euro zone 'to provide a significant increase in available resources.' MORE OPTIMISM...FOR SOME Japanese Economics Minister Motohisa Furukawa echoed Osborne's comments, saying: 'Without the firm action of Europe, I don't think the developing countries like China or others are willing to pay more money for the IMF.' On condition that the euro zone boosts its own defenses, he said Japan and other countries were willing to additional support via the IMF. Lagarde said, however, that if the international lender's resources were boosted sufficiently, this would raise confidence to such a degree that they would not be needed. 'If it is big enough, it will not get used. And the same applies to the euro firewall for that matter,' she added. Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda, speaking to the Forum by video link from Tokyo, said Japan was working with South Korea and India to reduce the risk of the euro zone crisis spreading to Asia. 'Japan stands ready to support the euro zone as much as possible,' he added. Mexico's central bank chief, Agustin Carstens, said on Friday he believed a consensus was building on boosting the IMF's resources to help European countries and others that might need aid from the global lender. There has been a palpable sense of hope at the Davos Forum that the euro zone is pulling back from the brink of catastrophe, though business leaders are equally worried that Europe's woes will hold back a global recovery. Osborne saw some signs of optimism. 'People have commented on the mood of this conference being quite somber but having been here for a couple of days people have also pointed out that actually people are slightly more optimistic at the end of the week than the beginning,' he said. However, Davos 2011 also ended on upbeat note about the euro zone and a feeling that worst of the crisis was over - only for the situation to deteriorate and financial markets to turn their fire on Italy, the bloc's third biggest economy. 'The euro zone is a slow-motion train wreck,' said economist Nouriel Roubini, made famous by predictions of the 2008-09 global banking crisis. He expected Greece, and possibly Portugal, to exit the bloc within the next 12 months and believed there is a 50 percent chance of the bloc breaking up completely in the next 3-5 years. Hong Kong's Chief Executive, Donald Tsang, said no matter how strong the euro zone's firewall is, the market will look at the nature of the economies it is protecting. 'If it is protecting insolvent economies...no matter how strong the firewall is, it won't survive,' he said. (Additional reporting by Ben Hirschler; Editing by Jon Boyle)
Oil Greece, creditors laboriously piece together debt deal
Oil Greece, creditors laboriously piece together debt deal ReutersReuters – 1 hour 26 minutes ago Companies: Thomson Reuters Corporation RELATED QUOTES Symbol Price Change TRI 27.82 -0.10 By Renee Maltezou and Lefteris Papadimas ATHENS (Reuters) - Greece and its private creditors head back to the negotiating table on Saturday to put together the final pieces of a long-awaited debt swap agreement needed to avert an unruly default. After weeks of muddling through round after round of inconclusive talks, the negotiations appear to be in their final phase, with both sides hoping to secure a preliminary deal before Monday's European Union summit. Prime Minister Lucas Papademos was expected to meet bankers' chief negotiator Charles Dallara at around 1330 GMT (8:30 a.m. EST) on Saturday, before meeting inspectors from the 'troika' of foreign lenders pressing Athens to step up painful reforms. 'Today will be another tough day,' said George Karatzaferis, leader of the far-right LAOS party, one of three parties in Papademos's emergency coalition government. 'We will see whether we can bear the burden that lies ahead.' The debt swap, in which private creditors are to take a 50 percent cut in the nominal value of their Greek bond holdings in exchange for cash and new bonds, is a prerequisite for the country to secure a 130-billion-euro rescue package. Papademos told Reuters in an interview on Friday he expected the debt talks to be concluded within days. 'We made significant progress over the last few weeks and in the last few days in particular. We are trying to conclude the discussions as quickly as possible. I am quite optimistic an agreement will be reached in the coming days,' he said. But concern has grown that the deal may not do enough to get the country's debt reduction plan back on track, and that Greece's European partners will be forced to stump up funds to cover the shortfall. The German news magazine Der Spiegel reported on Saturday that Greece's international lenders thought Athens would need 145 billion euros of public money from the euro zone for its second bailout rather than the planned 130 billion euros. The magazine said the extra money was needed because of the deteriorating economic situation in Greece, echoing a Reuters report on Thursday. Athens also faces problematic talks with the 'troika' of foreign lenders - the European Commission, IMF and European Central Bank - who have warned it needs to do more to drive through painful reforms before they dole out any more money. 'It's all very dense, difficult and crucial,' a Greek finance ministry official said. 'There is optimism because the country needs to survive and we need to protect its citizens because they have suffered a lot.' Athens and its creditors have broadly agreed that new bonds under the swap would probably have a 30-year maturity and a progressive interest rate. The deal is aimed at chopping 100 billion euros off Greece's crushing 350-billion-euro debt load. But they have wrangled for weeks over the interest rate Greece must pay on the new bonds and pressure has grown in recent days on the European Central Bank and other public creditors to accept a cut in the value of their Greek bond holdings like the private sector creditors. A debt deal must be sealed in about three weeks as Greece has to repay 14.5 billion euros of debt on March 20. Otherwise Greece will sink into an uncontrolled default that might spread turmoil across the euro zone. Papademos promised on Friday this would not happen. 'Greece will not default,' he said. International Monetary Fund Managing Director Christine Lagarde said on Saturday that euro zone members were making progress to overcome their crisis but must do more to strengthen their financial firewall, adding that the IMF was ready to help. 'There is progress as we see it,' Lagarde told a panel discussion at the World Economic Forum in Davos. 'But it is critical that the euro zone members actually develop a clear, simple, firewall that can operate both to limit the contagion and to provide this sort of act of trust in the euro zone so that the financing needs of that zone can actually be met.' Senior euro zone officials have expressed optimism on the Greek debt deal, though previous predictions of an imminent agreement have failed to become reality. Greece is in its fifth year of recession, and hopes of an end to the crisis in the near term have virtually gone, because of the combination of squabbling politicians, rising social anger and its inability to get its debt load under control. Germany is pushing for Greece to relinquish control over its budget policy to European institutions as part of discussions over a second rescue package, a European source told Reuters on Friday. Greece said such a move was out of the question, adding that a similar proposal had been made in the past by a Dutch minister without getting anywhere. 'There is no way we would accept such a thing,' a Greek government official told Reuters. (Additional reporting by Renee Maltezou, Writing by Deepa Babington; editing by Tim Pearce)
sábado, 27 de octubre de 2012
Signals AAPL was story of the day
Signals 
Market continues to act well. The underlying buying pressure is good. There was little bit of profit taking on AAPL. AAPL has rallied after missing earnings in anticipation of new products. Prior to the launch there is some nervousness and profit taking. AAPL being such a big component of Nasdaq 100, it had effect on that index.
Now all eyes are on Fed and that will be next big catalyst for the market.
On the ETF front one of the ETF worth looking at is UGAZ . It is trying to bounce back after a pullback. The natural gas futures were up 5% yesterday. If it gets going it might take out previous high near 40.
Now all eyes are on Fed and that will be next big catalyst for the market.
On the ETF front one of the ETF worth looking at is UGAZ . It is trying to bounce back after a pullback. The natural gas futures were up 5% yesterday. If it gets going it might take out previous high near 40.
jueves, 25 de octubre de 2012
Signals SEC probes exchanges and electronic trading firms ties
Signals SEC probes exchanges and electronic trading firms ties (Reuters) - The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has launched a probe into the ties between stock exchanges and certain electronic trading firms, the Wall Street Journal reported on Saturday, citing people familiar with the matter. BATS Global Markets Inc, a U.S. exchange operator that is planning an initial public offering, said in a government filing cited by the Journal that it got a request from the U.S. regulator's enforcement division for information on the use of order types and its communications with certain market participants. The SEC also asked BATS for details about its information technology systems and trading strategies, the filing said. The inquiry also was examining communications BATS has with certain members affiliated with certain stockholders and directors, the paper reported. (Reporting By Debra Sherman in Chicago; Editing by Eric Beech)
miércoles, 24 de octubre de 2012
Oil PPLT had a big eversal
Oil 
After spending many days going sideways, the indexes had a breakout to upside. The Nasdaq 100 continues to lead. Small caps had 2 nice up days.
One of the better looking ETF setup was on PPLT, which is a Platinum ETF. It had a big reversal after being in downtrend for sometime.
martes, 23 de octubre de 2012
Earn BlackRock to Buy ETF firm Claymore
Earn BlackRock to Buy ETF firm Claymore RELATED QUOTES Symbol Price Change FII 17.45 +0.08 BLK 184.09 +0.22 BlackRock Inc. (NYSE:BLK - News) has agreed to buy Claymore Canada from Guggenheim Partners LLC. The announcement came out yesterday and it was said that both parties have entered into a definitive agreement in this context. With this deal, BlackRock would be able to expand its exchange-traded fund (AMEX:ETF - News) business in Canada. Claymore is based in Toronto and acts as an independent Canadian subsidiary of Guggenheim Funds Services Group, a subsidiary of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. BlackRock, the leading asset manager in the world, currently manages $3.3 trillion in assets worldwide. The deal will result in addition of 34 ETFs and two closed-end funds, representing C$7.0 billion in asset under management. As of December 31, 2011, BlackRock offered 48 ETFs in Canada under the iShares brand, representing C$29.0 billion in assets under management. The deal, which is subject to regulatory approvals and customary closing conditions, is likely to be accomplished by the end of the first quarter of 2012. The deal, whose terms are still undisclosed, is expected to be neutral-to-modestly accretive to BlackRock's 2012 earnings. We believe that the acquisition of Claymore will provide BlackRock with competitive edge to grab market share in the Canadian ETF market and hence, is a strategic fit for the company. BlackRock currently retains a Zacks #3 Rank, which translates into a short-term 'Hold' rating. Among its peers Federated Investors Inc. (NYSE:FII - News) also shares the same Zacks rank. Zacks Investment Research
lunes, 22 de octubre de 2012
Oil End of day fade
Oil 
For 2 days in a row we had end of day fades . That is not a good sign.
The underlying breadth is good , but a little more conviction is needed. The action on individual stocks looks attractive. Number of them are breaking out on good volume. The oil and gas stocks have had best month or so .
The international market ETF have found a bid and many of them had huge moves in last 5 days.
The underlying breadth is good , but a little more conviction is needed. The action on individual stocks looks attractive. Number of them are breaking out on good volume. The oil and gas stocks have had best month or so .
The international market ETF have found a bid and many of them had huge moves in last 5 days.
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